Tag Archives: Delta Airlines

Why strong fundamentals support Delta Airlines’ valuation

Investing in Delta Airlines: A must-know company overview (Part 14 of 14)

(Continued from Part 13)

DAL valuation

For airline companies, EV/EBITDAR (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortization, and rent) is a better valuation metric than the P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio for two reasons.

  1. Airline companies generally have high debt levels. Price multiples don’t consider debt, while EV multiples do.
  2. Airline companies also have high leases, as aircraft can either be purchased or leased and multiples vary accordingly. EV/EBITDAR is considered after adding back lease rentals in order to make companies with different lease and ownership structures comparable.

Delta’s EV/EBITDAR is 6.6x, and it’s trading at an 8% premium to its peer average. Its forward EV/EBITDA multiple and P/E ratio are close to the peer average. As the table above shows, Delta is well ahead of its peers, with the highest margins and a forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.3x for a high forward EBITDA margin of 17.11% that’s justified compared to Southwest’s (LUV) forward EBITDA multiple of 5.6x for a forward EBITDA margin of 14.97%. A similar comparison for all other competitors reveals that lower multiples are coupled with lower forward margins compared to Delta. American Airlines (AAL) has a forward EBITDA multiple of 5.4x, close to Delta’s, but with a much lower forecasted EBITDA margin, at 14.07%. United’s (UAL) EBITDA margin also stands low, at 9.86% for a 4.7x EBITDA multiple. Jet Blue (JBLU), however, is slightly better, with a forward EBITDA margin of 13.98% for a 4.9x EBITDA multiple.

Moreover, with high ratings in most customer surveys, strong fundamental performance in terms of increasing operational efficiency, good cash flow generation, and a promising five-year target, Delta is well positioned to generate good returns for investors. Delta expects an operating margin between 11% and 14%, EPS (earnings per share) growth of 10% to 15% after 2014, ROIC of 15% to 18%, $6 billion in operating cash flow, $3 billion in free cash flow, and $5 billion in adjusted net debt by 2016.

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Delta Airlines’ key strategy to increase shareholder returns

Investing in Delta Airlines: A must-know company overview (Part 13 of 14)

(Continued from Part 12)

A dividend and share buyback program provides direct benefits to shareholders by proving regular income and better returns on investment

Stock dividends and share repurchases are generally declared by companies with excess cash after meeting working capital requirements, investments in expansion plans, and debt obligations. This excess cash is called “free cash flow” and is available to equity holders. Delta’s (DAL) operating cash flow is high ($4.5 billion) compared to its peers, so it manages to have a positive free cash flow even after meeting its capital expenditure ($2.57 billion). Capital expenditure is generally high in the airline industry. Delta manages to keep it low through its strategy of buying used aircraft.

In 2013, the cash generated from the operation of Delta’s competitors was as follows.

  • American Airlines (AAL)—$1.44 billion
  • United (UAL)—$0.68 billion
  • Jet Blue (JBLU)—$0.76 billion
  • Southwest (LUV)—2.48 billion

  • Dividend: Dividends provide investors with regular income, so investors are attracted to dividend-paying shares. Delta declared its intension to increase its dividend by 50% to $0.09 per share from the current $0.06 per share from September 2014. 
  • Share buybacks: Share buybacks result in accretion of EPS (earnings per share) resulting from a decreased number of shares, which in turn can increase share prices. In addition to declaring dividends, Delta has scheduled a $2 billion share repurchase program to be completed by 2016.

Indirect benefits to shareholders through reduced risk and leverage levels

Shareholders can expect to indirectly benefit from Delta’s planned accelerated debt reduction program. Delta’s debt adjusted for operating leases has decreased by 40% from 21.7 billion in 2009 to 12.8 billion in 1Q14, and the company targets reaching adjusted net debt of $5 billion in 2016. Debt reduction will result in reduced interest expenditure, increasing earnings and share prices. Moreover, investors’ confidence in the stock should increase as debt levels decrease and leverage ratios improve.

Continue to Part 14

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Delta's giraffe gaffe

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Giraffes are not a native species to Ghana.Twitter/Fast Company

Delta Airlines is facing a social media firestorm after posting a congratulatory tweet in the wake of U.S. team 2-1 World Cup victory over Ghana and incorrectly representing the country with a picture of a giraffe. 

The post featured the final score, with pictures meant to represent the two countries. The victorious U.S. was depicted as the Statue of Liberty and Ghana was represented by giraffe, expect there are no giraffes in Ghana. Twitter users who saw the post called the image racist and ignorant.

While many posters were upset, some found humor in the situation.

Someone at Delta was made aware of the gaffe and the offending tweet was removed, but not before Fast Company and other websites were able to capture screen shots.

An apology appeared soon after.