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Once the party of law and order, Republicans are now challenging it

Republican leaders’ open defiance last week of the FBI over the release of a hotly disputed memo revealed how the GOP, which has long positioned itself as the party of law and order, has become an adversary of federal law enforcement as the party continues its quest to protect President Trump from the Russia investigation.

The FBI, the Justice Department and other agencies are now under concerted assault by Republicans, facing allegations of corruption and conspiracy that have quickly moved from the fringes of the right into the mainstream of the GOP.

Republicans in Congress insist that their efforts are meant to fulfill their duty to provide oversight of the executive branch and root out suspected bias. But critics say their campaign — to “cleanse” the FBI, in the words of House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) — has been clearly orchestrated to safeguard the president and undercut the Russia probe, which includes an examination of whether Trump or his associates have sought to obstruct justice.

“It’s an extraordinary moment,” said Steve Schmidt, a strategist on George W. Bush’s and John McCain’s presidential campaigns who opposes Trump. “The party has become completely unmoored from things that it held as close to sacred until very recently, including a fidelity to the country’s security institutions.”

The GOP offensive has raised doubts among millions of Americans about the independence and integrity of federal law enforcement agencies, which have not been caught in a political maelstrom of this magnitude since the Watergate scandal almost five decades ago.

Tensions reached a boil this week when Trump approved the publication of the then-classified memo, which was authored by Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee chaired by Devin Nunes (R-Calif.), one of the president’s most loyal allies. The release came despite intense opposition from law enforcement and intelligence officials, who said that the document was full of errors and omissions and that disclosing it was “extraordinarily reckless” to national security.

The memo alleges that senior FBI and Justice officials abused their power and used a contested dossier on Trump to secure a warrant from a foreign-intelligence court to wiretap Carter Page, a former Trump campaign adviser.

The president claimed Saturday on Twitter that “this memo totally vindicates ‘Trump’ in probe. But the Russian Witch Hunt goes on and on . . . This is an American disgrace!”

The FBI, Democrats and some Republicans expressed alarm following days of unsuccessful appeals to Trump and Ryan to halt the release of a memo they say is incomplete and deeply misleading — and that they say sets a dangerous precedent.

The document is part of long-standing efforts by Trump to influence or derail the Russia probe, including his firing in the spring of FBI Director James B. Comey; his abandoned order in the summer to get rid of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III; and his continued consideration behind the scenes of removing others including Deputy Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein, who has ultimate authority over the investigation. Trump has told advisers in recent days that he was hopeful the memo’s release would pave the way for further shake-ups at Justice, including the firing of Rosenstein.

Confidence in the FBI has simultaneously declined among Republican voters. A Gallup survey in December 2017 found that 49 percent of Republicans thought the FBI was doing an “excellent” or “good” job, down from 62 percent in 2014. Among Democrats, 69 percent approved of the FBI’s performance, up from 60 percent in 2014.

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) prepares with his staff for a press conference on Capitol Hill as the government shutdown loomed on Jan. 18. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post)

Amid the tumult, rank-and-file conservatives and a chorus of Trump boosters in the media plunged ahead with the onslaught.

“We take no joy in this,” said Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who advocated the memo’s release and has suggested top law enforcement leaders be jailed for their alleged misdeeds. “We didn’t weave into the [party] platform last time that we are now against DOJ and the FBI. We’d rather be trashing Obamacare than trashing the FBI. But we have a job to do.”

But with Republicans fearful of a shellacking in fall’s midterm elections, vulnerable House incumbents are growing concerned that their party’s positioning carries unpredictable risks.

Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), a freshman representing suburban Philadelphia and a former FBI agent, said he is “telling my colleagues to be very careful on how they proceed here.” But he acknowledges that his voice alone will not suddenly turn around the party’s message.

“There are unfortunately some people who are trying to judge an entire institution by a few bad actors,” Fitzpatrick said. “The FBI is an amazing organization that I love with all my heart, and we need to balance our calls for transparency with the need for confidentiality in covert operations.”

Former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani, a Trump ally and onetime prosecutor who is close to some FBI officials, said his party “must be careful.”

“Republicans could be clearer, whether these issues turn out to be legitimate or not, that their focus is on the leadership at the time of the FBI — not the agents,” Giuliani said. “There are tremendous worries about conduct that deserve attention, but make sure to stay on that.”

Most striking to some Republicans has been the conduct of Ryan, who is widely respected within the party and casts himself as a pillar of traditional conservatism.

While Ryan has maintained that Mueller’s investigation should continue on its course, he has strongly supported Nunes and questioned whether civil liberties were violated. Addressing the Nunes memo, Ryan told a small gathering of television anchors this week, “Let it all out, get it all out there. Cleanse the organization,” according to Fox News. The speaker added, “I think we should disclose all this stuff. It’s the best disinfectant.”

On Friday, shortly after the document was declassified, Ryan said he was “glad” — although he cautioned his party in a statement to “not use this memo to impugn the integrity of the justice system.”

Ryan’s approach reflects much of the GOP leadership in Congress, which has labored to assure conservative hard-liners like Gaetz that their grievances about the FBI are being heard.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has had little to say about the House memo, other than to tell reporters he thinks Ryan is “handling this just right.”

Only a few elected Republicans have spoken negatively about the memo’s release. Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), a member of the Senate leadership, said Nunes should have shared it first with Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Richard Burr (R-N.C.) and incorporated the concerns of FBI Director Christopher A. Wray. Sens. McCain and Jeff Flake, Arizona Republicans who have been critical of Trump, both opposed making the document public.

“If we continue to undermine our own rule of law, we are doing [Russian President Vladimir] Putin’s job for him,” McCain said in a statement Friday.

Mark Salter, a longtime McCain confidant and adviser, said the GOP has largely reached a stage “where nothing is more important than politics — everything is tribal, about winning.”

Republicans have clashed with federal law enforcement agencies before, particularly under Democratic presidents, from the FBI’s 1993 siege of a religious group’s compound in Waco, Tex., to an uproar during President Barack Obama’s first term over a firearms sting operation dubbed “Fast and Furious.”

The recent, more expansive GOP distrust can be traced back to the 2016 campaign. Giuliani recalls traveling with Trump and together grousing about Comey and then-attorney general Loretta E. Lynch, among others, whom they saw as unfairly sympathetic to Hillary Clinton, the Democratic nominee who was under FBI investigation for her use of a private email server while she was secretary of state.

“I still don’t know how the hell she got away with it,” Giuliani said. “She was treated extraordinarily by Jim Comey and the FBI. At least, that was my impression.”

The perception of bias was fueled by media commentary on the right, including on Fox News, and a series of incidents that provided fodder to partisans, such as Lynch’s private meeting with former president Bill Clinton on an airport tarmac in Phoenix.

“This has all been building for a while,” said Rep. Peter T. King (R-N.Y.), a member of the House Intelligence Committee with deep ties to law enforcement. “You go back to 2016, there were serious errors made by certain people in the FBI and at Justice. Lynch on the tarmac, Comey deciding to not prosecute Hillary, and we still don’t have the full story of what happened that October.”

The upheaval over the memo comes amid an emerging power shift in the party that is tilting the GOP toward skepticism: Libertarian-leaning Republicans averse to expanding U.S. warrantless surveillance programs are increasingly vocal and winning converts.

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) have established themselves as leaders of the bloc, as other players on the right have embraced WikiLeaks and groups that have argued for dismantling what some Trump supporters call “the deep state,” a conspiratorial reference to the intelligence community and law enforcement as entrenched actors with self-interested motives.

Trump has encouraged that perspective even as he has formally supported a bill to expand surveillance powers, tweeting inaccurately and without evidence about being wiretapped by the Obama administration. In January, a measure to scale back surveillance powers was defeated in the House, although 58 Republicans joined 125 Democrats in supporting it.

At the center of this week’s eruption over declassifying the Nunes document has been a group of about 70 House members who have been rallying to “release the memo” during closed Republican conference meetings and on social media. They also have been speaking to talk radio and conservative websites with fierce criticism of Rosenstein, Wray and Attorney General Jeff Sessions, among others.

GOP pollster Frank Luntz, who is close with party leaders, explained the dynamic: “An average Republican voter’s inclination is to trust law and order. If the police say they’re guilty, a Republican assumes they are . . . But because so much of life has been politicized, you have this crosscurrent of an internal desire to support these institutions and the feeling that the people who occupy them are not doing their jobs correctly.”

Schmidt had a less charitable explanation, citing a list of conspiratorial beliefs that have been taken up over the years by the far right.

“It represents the mainstreaming of a strain of conservatism that comes from a place of paranoia and conspiracy,” Schmidt said. Many Republican leaders, he argued, “are now the equivalent of the Lyndon LaRouche people in the parking lot of the supermarket handing out fliers shouting conspiracies.”

Among Democrats, there is unease about the GOP’s turn, as well as lingering concerns of their own.

Many Clinton supporters continue to believe the FBI improperly handled her probe and blame Comey’s late October 2016 letter to Congress reopening the email investigation for her loss.

Lanny J. Davis, a longtime member of Clinton’s political orbit, is publishing a book on Tuesday titled, “The Unmaking of the President 2016: How FBI Director James Comey Cost Hillary Clinton the presidency.”

The headline for Davis’s column in The Hill newspaper this week: “Deep state existed in ’16 — but it elected Trump.”

Scott Clement contributed to this report.

Two dead after Amtrak train collides with freight train in South Carolina

An Amtrak train en route from New York to Miami collided with a CSX freight train and derailed near Columbia, S.C., leaving two dead and 116 injured, police and Amtrak officials said.

The crash occurred at 2:35 a.m. in Cayce, S.C., causing the lead engine and “some passenger cars” to derail, Amtrak said in a statement. There were eight crew members and approximately 139 passengers, Amtrak said.

The two people killed were Amtrak employees, according to South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster (R). The CSX freight train was empty, he said.

Derrec Becker of the South Carolina Emergency Management Division said injuries reported include minor cuts as well as broken bones, and he said all passengers had been removed from the train. Lexington County spokesman Harrison Cahill said passengers who were hurt were taken to local hospitals, but none had life-threatening injuries.

There were two leaks from the train, spilling an estimated 5,000 gallons of fuel, but there was “no threat to the public at this time,” Cahill said at a news conference. He said the cause of the crash was not known, and CSX and the National Transportation Safety Board had been called to investigate. He later said that it was unclear from where the fuel had leaked.

Whitney Sullivan, a reporter for WLTX-TV, reported that deputies said no residents in the area were evacuated.

The Transportation Department said the Federal Railroad Administration, which has safety oversight over Amtrak and freight rail, said its investigators were on site.

NTSB chairman Robert Sumwalt said on “Fox Friends” that “one of our priorities” is to recover data recorders to determine “the speed of the Amtrak train at the point of collision.”

Passenger Derek Pettaway said he woke with a jolt when the collision happened, suffering minor whiplash. He had taken shelter with other passengers at the nearby Pine Ridge Middle School, where authorities were providing medical care. “No one was panicking. I think most people were asleep. I think people were more in shock,” Pettaway said in an interview with CNN.

The White House press pool was told that President Trump had been briefed on the situation and was receiving regular updates. Deputy press secretary Lindsay Walters said Trump’s thoughts and prayers are with everyone who was affected. Other officials also offered statements of support. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said his “prayers are with the families of those killed.”

The incident comes less than a week after an Amtrak train carrying GOP lawmakers to a retreat in West Virginia collided with a garbage truck. One person in the truck was killed.

In December, an Amtrak train in Washington state derailed while crossing an overpass, spilling cars onto a busy highway and killing three people.

Doris N. Truong contributed to this report.

A Man Has Been Arrested After Migrants Were Hurt In Drive-By Shootings In A City In Italy

Six migrants were injured in drive-by shootings in the Italian city of Macerata on Saturday, one of them critically.

Five men and one woman were among those shot, Mayor Romano Carancini told Sky TG24, all of whom were black “foreign nationals”. Reports suggest that the attacker was targeting black migrants.

The first shots were fired from a car at around 11:10 a.m. local time, according to newspaper Corriere della Sera, with two “young black immigrants” targeted. More people were injured in different places as the attacker drove around the city, which is about 125 miles east of Rome.

Ammo seller to Las Vegas killer arrested on federal charge

(CNN)Douglas Haig, an Arizona man who says he sold tracer ammunition to the gunman in October’s Las Vegas massacre, was arrested Friday on a charge of manufacturing and selling armor-piercing bullets in violation of federal law.

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Groundhog Day 2018: Punxsutawney Phil spots shadow and forecasts six more weeks of winter

Hang on to your warm furry hats.

Punxsutawney Phil, the world’s most celebrated groundhog, gazed at the ground and beheld his shadow Friday morning. This means six more weeks of frigid winter if you trust the weather forecasting skills of this oversized rodent.

Had the mangy marmot not spotted his shadow, it would have signaled spring is around the corner, folklore assures.

The groundhog crawled out of his hole to issue his prediction just before 7:25 a.m. as the sun rose at Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa. How he managed to see his shadow with clouds blocking the sun is a bit of a mystery. Thousands of merry witnesses watched the spectacle, unfazed by the biting wind, blowing snow and bone-chilling temperatures in the teens.

Since his first prediction in 1887, Phil has spotted his shadow 104 times, counting this year, while it has eluded him on just 18 occasions. Ten years are missing from the record, but Phil has issued forecasts without exception.

If this winter endures well into March as Phil predicts, it will be remembered for the intensity and duration of cold weather. The brutal Arctic blast in the eastern U.S. between Christmas and the first week of the new year may most stand out, culminating in the “bomb cyclone” at the coast. In many areas, it was the most frigid stretch of weather surrounding New Year’s in recorded history.


Where the two weeks surrounding the New Year rank on the cold scale. (Southeast Regional Climate Center, modified by Ian Livingston)

The groundhog’s prognostication is supported by forecasters endowed with somewhat larger brains; that is, actual meteorologists. The prediction from AccuWeather, the private forecasting company based in State College, Pa., is also calling for winter to persist another six weeks.

“Boston to New York City and Philadelphia may see snow a few more times before the end of the season,” says AccuWeather long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok.

The National Weather Service also suggests winter is far from done in the northern and northeastern United States, where it favors colder-than-normal weather in February. It does lean toward abnormally mild weather in the West, so perhaps Phil is wrong about extended winter in that part of the country.


National Weather Service temperature 30-day temperature outlook for February. In areas shaded in blue, it leans toward colder than normal weather. In areas shades in orange, it favors warmer than normal weather. (National Weather Service)

If the question of Phil’s track record is gnawing at you, the success of his recent predictions is decidedly mixed.

Last year, Phil predicted six more weeks of winter and spring arrived as early as it has in memory. Flower stems sprouted in Chicago in late February and nearly all the ice on the Great Lakes melted away. It turned into the second-warmest February and ninth-warmest March on record for the Lower 48.

But Phil should be credited for making the correct call in 2016 when he predicted an early spring. That year there was a super El Niño, a warming of tropical Pacific Ocean waters, that pumped up temperatures over much of the country.

Over the long haul, few can agree on the groundhog’s accuracy.

Phil’s official website claims he has “of course” issued a correct forecast 100 percent of the time. But the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration notes that Phil’s forecasts have shown “no predictive skill”.

AccuWeather finds the rodent has an 80 percent accuracy rate. But the StormFax Almanac reports that Phil has been right a lowly 39 percent of the time.

The origins of Groundhog Day are traced back to the 1700s when German settlers arrived in the United States, bringing a tradition known as Candlemas Day, a celebration of the midpoint between the winter solstice and spring equinox. About a century later, it was reimagined as Groundhog Day. “According to superstition, sunny skies that day signify a stormy and cold second half of winter while cloudy skies indicate the arrival of warm weather,” explains NOAA’s website.

In essence, one can now think of Feb. 2 as a winter halftime show starring Phil and his forecast.

But Phil doesn’t own the stage. Groundhog Day-like festivities are held in several regions of North America where other beloved marmots make their predictions, including:

The official website of Punxsutawney Phil counters he is the “only true weather forecasting groundhog” and that the others are “just impostors.”

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January Jobs Report: Everything You Need to Know

Steven Blitz, chief U.S. Economist at TS Lombard, points out that it’s important to look at wage-growth in lower-paying industries. Here are his reflections on wages, via e-mailed comments:

“Wage gains for non-supervisory workers is less headline worthy, being 2.4% Y/Y, but the underlying trend is still up. Greater growth in lower wage industries remains the underpinning of the jobs market, about 50% of total private sector jobs gain in January. The diffusion indexes pared back a bit, suggesting firms are becoming a little less aggressive in adding payroll. This all fits with our outlook for a year when, on the margin, capital rather than labor is added to expand output. There were strong gains in construction employment and average hourly wage gains in this sector are up 2.9%Y/Y and 3.6% in the past three months, on an annualized basis. In all, a strong enough report with just enough quirks (drop in hours, the 15,000 increase in apparel store employment) to give pessimists some factors to grab onto.”

Trump accuses top FBI, DOJ officials of politicizing probes as memo release looms


President Donald Trump has repeatedly taken aim at Justice Department and FBI officials since entering the West Wing. | Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

The president renewed his attacks on senior law enforcement officials, saying they favor Democrats.

02/02/2018 06:56 AM EST

Updated 02/02/2018 09:00 AM EST


President Donald Trump accused officials at the FBI and the Justice Department on Friday of having “politicized” their investigations, ratcheting up his attacks on law enforcement agencies as he readies the release of an incendiary memo alleging wrongdoing by top bureau officials.

“The top Leadership and Investigators of the FBI and the Justice Department have politicized the sacred investigative process in favor of Democrats and against Republicans – something which would have been unthinkable just a short time ago,” the president tweeted. “Rank File are great people!”

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The White House told reporters that the president is expected to green-light the disclosure of a hotly-contested House intelligence memo as soon as Friday that contains allegations that senior FBI officials overstepped in their probe into Russian operatives and their ties to the Trump campaign.

The pending decision comes amid strong objections from Democrats and intelligence officials, who have pointed to potential issues over the document’s sourcing and accuracy. In a rare public statement released Wednesday, the FBI expressed “grave concerns about material omissions of fact that fundamentally impact the memo’s accuracy.”

Republican leaders, spearheaded by House intelligence chairman Devin Nunes (R-Calif.), have pushed back on the assertions, calling for increased transparency at the law enforcement agencies. The partisan feuding intensified Thursday as the top two Democratic officials in Congress — Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi — called Nunes to resign from his post atop the panel over his handling of the memo.

While the exact contents of the as-of-yet undisclosed document remain a mystery, House Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows (R-N.C.) insinuated in a series of tweets Thursday that the memo alleges the FBI used the unverified Fusion GPS dossier as evidence to obtain a surveillance warrant for Carter Page, a former Trump campaign official who is being investigated as a part of the DOJ Russia probe.

The memo’s pending release has raised concerns that Republican officials may seek to use it to undermine special counsel Robert Mueller’s probe into Russian election interference and potential criminal activity by the Trump campaign.

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), the top Democrat on the House Intelligence panel and one of the most vocal opponents of the memo’s release, told “CBS This Morning” Friday that the president’s remarks and expected decision to disclose the document were part of a broadside attack law enforcement agencies.

“It’s clear from the president that this is exactly the purpose behind this cherry-picking of information that Nunes wants to release,” Schiff said. “This is designed to impugn the credibility of the FBI, to undermine the investigation.”

The president, whose campaign is being probed by congressional and federal investigators for potential ties to Russian officials, has forcefully denied allegations that his team colluded with foreign operatives, calling their probes a “witch hunt” and “fake news.”

Friday’s remarks are the latest instance of the president taking direct aim at Justice Department and FBI officials since entering the West Wing.

Earlier this week FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe abruptly left his post after facing intense public scrutiny from the president. Trump had questioned McCabe’s impartiality in handling the Russia prove, citing the fact that his wife received a donation from a Hillary Clinton political ally during her failed run for state office in Virginia.

Last week the president called the missing text messages between two FBI employees accused of bias against him “one of the biggest stories in a long time.” The messages, sent between FBI agent Peter Strzok and FBI lawyer Lisa Page, have become a rallying cry for some of the right alleging a vast conspiracy to sabotage Trump’s presidency is afoot at law enforcement agencies. Strzok and Page were formerly involved in Mueller’s investigation.

In a November tweet the president alluded to the existence of a “deep state” at the FBI and Justice Department, a reference to the conspiracy that government officials are working to undermine the White House for political reasons.

Despite his forceful Friday missive, counselor to the president Kellyanne Conway insisted that Trump held deep respect for FBI employees.

“The president has stated many times that he respects the rank and file the FBI, the 25,000 men and women who do a great job there,” Conway told Fox News.

But some former law enforcement and intelligence officials remained skeptical, expressing alarm at the president’s actions and rhetoric toward the FBI and DOJ.

James Clapper, a former Director of National Intelligence, said Trump’s charge that the FBI and DOJ had “politicized” their investigations was “the pot calling the kettle black,”

“Transparency is a great thing, but let’s be factual and objective about it, and this clearly is a pretty blatant political act,” Clapper added during a Friday morning appearance on CNN, rebuffing Republicans who say the memo’s release will bolster government transparency.

Manchin fires back after Pence attack: ‘This is why Washington sucks’

During Tuesday’s State of the Union, a lone Democrat in the front row leapt up and down to applaud the president during his address to Congress: Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia.

But by Wednesday afternoon, a war of the words had erupted after the White House seemed to turn on Manchin, criticizing the senator in a fiery speech by vice president Mike Pence. Manchin faces re-election this year.

“I looked [Manchin] in the eye and I told him, Joe, the people of the mountain state are counting on you,” Pence said in a speech touting tax reform in White Sulphur Springs, W.V. “And I said, let’s get this tax cut done together. But Joe voted no. Joe voted no to give working families more of your hard-earned money.”

Pence continued, “Joe voted no on tax cuts for job creators and on expanding the child tax credit giving you your first 24,000 dollars of income tax free … Joe voted no. But it’s not just the tax cut, Senator Joe Manchin has voted no time and again on the policies West Virginia needs. When the time came to repeal and replace the disaster of Obamacare, Joe voted no. When we empowered West Virginia to defund Planned Parenthood, Joe voted no. And when it comes to that wall when we’re gonna build on the southern border, Joe said quote, ‘Well, I’m not voting for the wall either.’ Folks, Joe’s just gonna keep voting against West Virginia. Now that might make Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi pretty happy. But West Virginia needs to let him know you expect better from Joe.”

Pence’s remarks signal that in the upcoming West Virginia Senate race, the White House won’t hold back on attacking Manchin despite his frequent support.

PHOTO: Vice President Mike Pence and Speaker of the House Rep. Paul Ryan attend the State of the Union address in the chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives Jan. 30, 2018 in Washington.Mark Wilson/Getty Images
Vice President Mike Pence and Speaker of the House Rep. Paul Ryan attend the State of the Union address in the chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives Jan. 30, 2018 in Washington.

In response, Manchin said “The vice president’s comments are exactly why Washington sucks.” The comment was in reference to remarks Manchin made about the frustration he felt during the government shutdown. Manchin noted that just last night, President Donald Trump called for “unity and bipartisanship” during his State of the Union address.

“I am shocked that after the vice president worked for almost a year in a divisive and partisan way to take healthcare away from almost 200,000 West Virginians, bankrupt our hospitals, and push tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans and huge corporations that he would come to West Virginia and continue his partisan attacks,” Manchin said in a statement.

“Last week, I worked in a bipartisan way with Senator Collins to end the shutdown, and last night President Trump called for unity and bipartisanship. The vice president’s comments are exactly why Washington sucks. I’m disappointed in his comments but will continue to work to make Washington work so West Virginia and our country work.”

Pence spent the afternoon in West Virginia, delivering a speech at Worldwide Equipment, Inc. on tax reform with Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross before heading to the Greenbrier Resort to address the House and Senate Republican Members Conference.

Manchin, a centrist Democrat from a state that voted for Trump by 42 points, has earned a reputation of working across the aisle and being a Democratic ally with the White House. During the government shut down, it was Manchin, along with new Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala. who was invited to travel down Pennsylvania Avenue to meet with Trump and find common ground on issues tripping up a potential bipartisan deal.

PHOTO: President Donald Trump hugs Democratic Senator from West Virginia Joe Manchin as he departs after delivering his State of the Union address to a joint session of the U.S. Congress on Capitol Hill in Washington, Jan. 30, 2018. Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
President Donald Trump hugs Democratic Senator from West Virginia Joe Manchin as he departs after delivering his State of the Union address to a joint session of the U.S. Congress on Capitol Hill in Washington, Jan. 30, 2018.

Trump has criticized Manchin before. In an interview with the New York Times last December, Trump said he hears “bull—-” from Democrats “like Joe Manchin.”

“Joe’s a nice guy,” said Trump. “But he talks. But he doesn’t do anything. He doesn’t do. ‘Hey, let’s get together, let’s do bipartisan.’ I say, ‘Good, let’s go.’ Then you don’t hear from him again.”

Trump’s statements on the financial State of the Union: Fact or fiction?


President Trump addresses a joint session of Congress on Capitol Hill. (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP)

To hear President Trump tell it during his State of the Union address, he’s solely responsible for every economic success since even before he took the oath of office.

So here is the truth of five financial facts he made about the economy during his address Tuesday night.

1. Trump said: “African American unemployment stands at the lowest rate ever recorded, and Hispanic American unemployment has also reached the lowest levels in history.”

The unemployment rate for African Americans has been declining since 2010. The rate was 7.7 percent when Trump took the oath of office. It’s now 6.8 percent, as The Washington Post fact checkers reported.

Love this line from The Post fact checkers: “Trump taking credit for this is like a rooster thinking the sun came up because he crowed.”

Read more: Fact-checking the 2018 State of the Union address

And, as they wrote, “Hispanic American unemployment had also been trending lower before Trump’s presidency. It hit a low of 4.8 percent in several months in 2017, as well as in one month in 2006.”

2. Trump said: “Unemployment claims have hit a 45-year low.”

Except newly released data show that for the week that ended Jan. 20, new jobless claims jumped up.

Read more: U.S. jobless claims bounce higher one week after dropping to 45-year low

3. Trump said: “Since the election, we have created 2.4 million new jobs, including 200,000 new jobs in manufacturing alone.”

“Those claims are accurate,” USA Today reported. “Job growth was already strong under President Barack Obama’s administration and has continued.”

From USA Today: We fact-checked 15 Trump State of the Union points. Some rang true, others mostly false or exaggerated

4. Trump said: “Just as I promised the American people from this podium 11 months ago, we enacted the biggest tax cuts and reforms in American history.”

“It is false that the tax cut package passed in December is the largest cut ever, as Trump has repeatedly claimed,” according to PolitiFact. “In inflation-adjusted dollars, the recent tax bill is the fourth-largest since 1940. And as a percentage of GDP, it ranks seventh.”

From PolitiFact: Fact-checking Donald Trump’s 2018 State of the Union speech

5. Trump said: “The stock market has smashed one record after another, gaining $8 trillion in value. That is great news for Americans’ 401(k), retirement, pension and college savings accounts.”

It’s true the stock market has produced substantial gains for many investors, but there’s a caveat.

“Trump is correct that $8 trillion in wealth has been created since the election — or $6.9 trillion since he took the oath of office, according to the Wilshire 5000 Index of stocks,” The Post fact checkers wrote. “But much of that gain in wealth did not trickle down to most Americans. Only about 50 percent of Americans own stocks directly or through retirement funds, according to a Gallup survey. And most of the value in stocks is held by the top 10 percent.”

“In 2007, nearly two in three American adults (65 percent) reported investing in the stock market. . .” wrote Justin McCarthy for Gallup News. “But this percentage shrank each year from 2008 to 2013 as the effects of the Great Recession and big market losses took their toll on Americans’ sense of job security, confidence in the economy and financial means to invest — as well as their general confidence in stocks as a place to invest their money. Though the Dow Jones industrial average has made great gains since bottoming out in 2009, Americans’ stock ownership has yet to recover to the level reported prior to the recession.”

Read more: Just Over Half of Americans Own Stocks, Matching Record Low

Here’s the problem with Trump taking credit for the current bull market: Will he also take responsibility if there’s a bear market during his tenure?

Read: The day of the State of the Union there was this: Stocks drop the most since August

And this: Trump doesn’t deserve the credit for the economy. Neither does Obama.

“The drop, of course, can’t be entirely attributed to Trump, just like the gains aren’t all his doing,” wrote Bess Levin for Vanity Fair.

Read more: Dow Jones Celebrates Trump’s State of the Union by Plunging 400. . . On his big day!

And this: Is big swoon of past two trading days a sign that stock market calm is over?

From Vox: Trump will boast about the economy Tuesday night. Here are 3 signs it’s not as great as he says.

Color of Money question of the week
Were you encouraged about Trump’s enthusiasm for the economy during his State of the Union address? Send your comments to colorofmoney@washpost.com. Please include your name, city and state. All opinions are welcome but please keep your comments civil.

Looking for volunteers
To capture the impact of the new tax law, I want to profile people and their tax situation.

So, I’m looking for individuals and couples willing to share your 2017 tax returns and then later have me compare it to your 2018 return, which of course will be filed next year. It will mean sharing some financial information but only what’s necessary. I just want to show with real folks the impact of the recent tax reform.

If you’re interested please email me at colorofmoney@washpost.com

Live chat today
Let’s talk about Medicare. Joining me today will be Tricia Neuman, senior vice president of the Kaiser Family Foundation and director of the foundation’s Program on Medicare Policy. She oversees the foundation’s research and analysis work pertaining to Medicare, and health coverage and care for aging Americans and people with disabilities

Neuman will be discussing the foundation’s new report I recently wrote about: Out-of-pocket health-care costs likely to take half of Social Security income by 2030, analysis shows

Join the discussion live from noon to 1 p.m. Here’s the link.

A new report found 1 in 6 millennials has $100,000 in savings. Some millennials are saving by living at home.

A Bank of America report found that nearly half of millennials in their poll — Americans 23 and 37 — have $15,000 or more saved and one in six has more than $100,000 in savings.

Last week I asked: What do you think of young adults returning home to save money?

Barbara Allen of Warrenton, Va., said her daughter, who will graduate this May is moving in with a friend in an area with better employment opportunities. But she’s prepared for the real world, Allen wrote.

“She knows by sitting down with us what her expenses will entail, and how much she will need to earn to pay those expenses,” she wrote. “We have agreed to help her financially until the end of 2018, with deposits, etc. She has a savings account which she has added to with part-time jobs during school breaks and summers. We put money into an account since she was a born, and were able to pay all but the last semester of college tuition in cash. She will have a student loan debt of $6,000, with payment starting in 2019. We have been paying on that student loan monthly since she received the payout for tuition, bringing the [principal] down while paying off incurring interest. We as a family feel she has the maturity and skills to succeed outside living at home, and encouraged her to do so. It depends on the young person if staying at home to save money will work, some young people have the skills, some don’t, and it depends on the family dynamic.”

“I am a HUGE proponent of living at home to save,” Valerie Boykin of Fort Washington, Md., wrote. “My siblings, spouses and I did it when we graduated in the ’80s, and my daughter who graduated in 2015 did it. My siblings, spouses and I used that springboard to purchase houses and build sound futures. My daughter just bought her first house. This is one key way to build multigenerational wealth especially for those who didn’t come from wealth. It saddens me when parents push children who are trying to build a future out of the house prematurely (emphasis on trying to build a future — if you aren’t trying, I’m not either), or when kids foolishly just can’t live with the parent’s rules for just a little while.”

Here are some tips from C A Dazell from Arizona for parents welcoming adult children back home.
— “Make sure the savings is actually going into ‘savings’ and not a new car.”
— “Make sure that adult child takes care of himself in your home (cleans, cooks, washes their own cloths, etc.) After all, they will have to do it eventually.”
— “Make sure there are agreed to boundaries; my space vs your space, coming/going times, girlfriend/boyfriend sleepovers or (worse) moves in?”

Can I just add. My rule: No unmarried adults living together in my home. My house. My rules. It’s already quite enough helping your own child launch.

Color of Money columns this week
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Out-of-pocket health-care costs likely to take half of Social Security income by 2030, analysis shows

Have a question about your finances? Michelle Singletary has a weekly live chat every Thursday at noon where she discusses financial dilemmas with readers. You can also write to Michelle directly by sending an email to colorofmoney@washpost.com. Personal responses may not be possible, and comments or questions may be used in a future column, with the writer’s name, unless otherwise requested. To read more Color of Money columns, go here.

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